ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangersloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Inner Circlewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Batrideroften banned
nicky`cool · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
nesfeer · 2 games
Jakirooften banned
Hduo · 2 games
Kunkka
Alberkaaa · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
queezy · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
Viperoften banned
nicky`cool · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 18 games
Marsoften banned
Norma · 17 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 16 games
Tusk
Fernans · 15 games
Disruptorsignature
Fernans · 13 games
Warlock
flacko · 12 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Fernans · 11 games
Snapfire
Fernans · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
536 picks · 763 bans
Tusk
493 picks · 343 bans
Dragon Knight
464 picks · 642 bans
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 545 bans
Shadow Demon
375 picks · 658 bans
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 562 bans
Mars
342 picks · 465 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 148 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 39%
Hero pool strength52% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:46
Power Rangers 49%Inner Circle 51%
The model gave 51% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 59:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkznesfeer
Terrorblade423
Sand Kingnicky`cool
Void Spiritniche
TidehunterAlberkaaa
Timbersawlaise
Shadow DemonImmersion
JakiroSe
DisruptorHduo
TuskDaze
Game 2prediction correct10:40
Power Rangers 49%Inner Circle 51%
The model gave 51% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 33:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkznesfeer
Broodmother423
KunkkaAlberkaaa
Leshracniche
Void Spiritnicky`cool
Marslaise
Shadow DemonImmersion
TinyDaze
Treant ProtectorHduo
DazzleSe
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 55%
Series resultInner Circle 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2