ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDirebornloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YYACHE123win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Direborn
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
woMy · 3 games
Clockwerk
db- · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Cije · 3 games
Pugna
db- · 3 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
YACHE123
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
537 picks · 751 bans
Tusk
483 picks · 343 bans
Dragon Knight
460 picks · 635 bans
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 543 bans
Shadow Demon
371 picks · 649 bans
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 551 bans
Mars
337 picks · 462 bans
Hoodwink
336 picks · 149 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% YACHE123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% YACHE123
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Direborn 48%YACHE123 52%
The model gave 52% on YACHE123 — the game was taken by YACHE123.
Game 2prediction correct
Direborn 48%YACHE123 52%
The model gave 52% on YACHE123 — the game was taken by YACHE123.
Model check result
Model favoriteYACHE123 · 52%
Series resultYACHE123 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2