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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 53 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kaori · 49 games
59%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 38 games
74%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 38 games
66%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 37 games
70%
Windranger
Windranger
Nightfall · 37 games
59%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 36 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 32 games
59%

GamerLegion

Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 18 games
78%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 17 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Speeed · 16 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 16 games
44%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 15 games
40%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 353 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
358 picks · 636 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
351 picks · 408 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 462 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
326 picks · 177 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 346 bans
49%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 581 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
301 picks · 228 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 41%
Hero pool strength58% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:39
Aurora Gaming 74%GamerLegion 26%
The model gave 74% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 1:12:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMikoto
61% · 100 games50% · 229 games
LargoFayde
Largo
Timbersaw
TimbersawWs
45% · 154 games48% · 332 games
WindrangerGhost
Windranger
Tiny
TinyNightfall
47% · 348 games51% · 132 games
Earth SpiritRCY
Earth Spirit
Tusk
TuskMira
50% · 332 games47% · 109 games
MiranaSpeeed
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKaori
57% · 110 games46% · 242 games
Dark WillowBignum
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct30:13
Aurora Gaming 72%GamerLegion 28%
The model gave 72% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 42:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerNightfall
53% · 140 games47% · 80 games
NecrophosGhost
Necrophos
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMikoto
49% · 129 games54% · 196 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWs
48% · 170 games53% · 308 games
UnderlordFayde
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightMira
56% · 94 games40% · 81 game
MiranaBignum
Mirana
Jakiro
JakiroKaori
46% · 196 games56% · 64 games
Bounty HunterSpeeed
Bounty Hunter
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 87%
Series resultAurora Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2