ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OEOQ Enjoyersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Disruptorsignature
Se · 41 game
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 39 games
Enchantresssignature
Se · 30 games
Hoodwink
dEsire · 27 games
Underlord
Nefrit · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Nefrit · 25 games
Tusk
dEsire · 25 games
Abaddonoften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
OQ Enjoyers
Tusk
Kyzko · 2 games
Alchemist
WoE · 1 game
Bane
Fishman · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Mirana
Fishman · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
546 picks · 744 bans
Tusk
487 picks · 352 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 639 bans
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 542 bans
Shadow Demon
372 picks · 643 bans
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 551 bans
Hoodwink
348 picks · 157 bans
Mars
348 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:12
Zero Tenacity 67%OQ Enjoyers 33%
The model gave 67% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 30:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 67%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1