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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigyloss 0:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Axe
Axe
takizawa · 13 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 10 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 9 games
44%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
cutie · 8 games
63%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 8 games
13%
Windranger
Windranger
raregods · 8 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
68%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
44%
Mars
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
547 picks · 739 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 350 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
438 picks · 540 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 638 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 548 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
349 picks · 157 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
348 picks · 467 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 38%
Hero pool strength57% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:45
VP.Prodigy 48%Nemiga Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 44:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 52%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1