ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNTnew team callingloss 0:1
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Pipsqueak+4win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
new team calling
No games played over 6 months.
Pipsqueak+4
Warlock
Kidaro · 42 games
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 34 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Palantimos · 33 games
Marsoften banned
Nande · 30 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 30 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 29 games
Tusk
Ekki · 29 games
Batridersignature
Ekki · 28 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
558 picks · 738 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 646 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 631 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Pipsqueak+4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
new team calling 24%Pipsqueak+4 76%
The model gave 76% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4.
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 76%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1