ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 0:1series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:1
NTnew team callingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Disruptorsignature
Se · 41 game
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 39 games
Enchantresssignature
Se · 30 games
Hoodwink
dEsire · 27 games
Underlord
Nefrit · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Nefrit · 25 games
Tusk
dEsire · 25 games
Abaddonoften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
new team calling
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
558 picks · 737 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 645 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 630 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Zero Tenacity 89%new team calling 11%
The model gave 89% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by new team calling.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 89%
Series resultnew team calling 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1