DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionCCatChampwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GG Boomloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CatChamp
Clinkzoften banned
K1 · 1 game
Hoodwink
waveformn · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Gunnar · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
waveformn · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 1 game
Underlord
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 1 game
GG Boom
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
562 picks · 726 bans
Tusk
511 picks · 354 bans
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 657 bans
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 549 bans
Snapfire
394 picks · 134 bans
Hoodwink
385 picks · 184 bans
Gyrocopter
374 picks · 529 bans
Mars
372 picks · 515 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% GG Boom
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% CatChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:17
CatChamp 76%GG Boom 24%
The model gave 76% on CatChamp — the game was taken by CatChamp in 28:45.
Game 2prediction correct30:13
CatChamp 76%GG Boom 24%
The model gave 76% on CatChamp — the game was taken by CatChamp in 24:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteCatChamp · 76%
Series resultCatChamp 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2