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DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1w Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 37 games
54%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Bane
Bane
Kataomi · 23 games
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 23 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
45%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 19 games
63%

1w Team

Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
59%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 27 games
74%
Warlock
Warlock
kasane · 27 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 25 games
52%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 25 games
80%
Disruptor
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
kasane · 20 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
565 picks · 697 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
509 picks · 348 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
485 picks · 663 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 542 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
419 picks · 145 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
404 picks · 191 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
378 picks · 520 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 515 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:6
BETBOOM TEAM 62%1w Team 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
51% · 183 games51% · 174 games
LeshracSquad1x
Leshrac
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
44% · 188 games54% · 221 game
UrsaMunkushi~
Ursa
Mars
MarsMieRo
48% · 225 games53% · 80 games
UnderlordSSS
Underlord
Tinker
TinkerKataomi
42% · 46 games50% · 336 games
WarlockRein
Warlock
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
52% · 172 games71% · 3 games
Treant Protectorswedenstrong
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct28:14
BETBOOM TEAM 63%1w Team 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
52% · 360 games52% · 358 games
GyrocopterMunkushi~
Gyrocopter
Kez
KezKiritych
47% · 54 games53% · 223 games
TidehunterSSS
Tidehunter
Axe
AxeMieRo
49% · 181 game54% · 315 games
Ember SpiritSquad1x
Ember Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 444 games46% · 210 games
Windrangerswedenstrong
Windranger
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
47% · 181 game51% · 114 games
UndyingRein
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 75%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2