EPL Championship Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TOThe Outcastloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Dragon Knightoften banned
MaTson · 16 games
Batrideroften banned
Atoufix · 12 games
Primal Beastsignature
MaTson · 11 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 11 games
Puckoften banned
MaTson · 10 games
Ringmaster
Atoufix · 10 games
Tusk
Atoufix · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
MaTson · 9 games
The Outcast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
564 picks · 695 bans
Tusk
511 picks · 343 bans
Dragon Knight
485 picks · 663 bans
Centaur Warrunner
448 picks · 538 bans
Snapfire
419 picks · 145 bans
Hoodwink
403 picks · 191 bans
Mars
378 picks · 522 bans
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 512 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% The Outcast
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Level UP 69%The Outcast 31%
The model gave 69% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Game 2prediction correct
Level UP 69%The Outcast 31%
The model gave 69% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 69%
Series resultLevel UP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2