Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters — prediction DS2ЗК · Dota 2

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DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

Power Rangersloss 0:2

series probability

34%66%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Rune Eaterswin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

No games played over 6 months.

Rune Eaters

Ringmastersignature

ani-san · 48 games

63%

Jakirooften banned

Htrd · 43 games

53%

Dragon Knightoften banned

Ethereal · 36 games

56%

Void Spirit

Ethereal · 33 games

42%

Ogre Magisignature

monodrama · 25 games

84%

Disruptor

Htrd · 24 games

54%

Slardarsignature

Ankou · 23 games

65%

Tiny

raregods · 23 games

52%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Jakiro

559 picks · 691 bans

50%

Tusk

507 picks · 340 bans

48%

Dragon Knight

481 picks · 661 bans

49%

Centaur Warrunner

446 picks · 534 bans

55%

Snapfire

419 picks · 145 bans

49%

Hoodwink

402 picks · 191 bans

53%

Mars

376 picks · 518 bans

49%

Gyrocopter

373 picks · 510 bans

51%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%

Hero pool strength54% Rune Eaters

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total66% Rune Eaters

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct17:32

Power Rangers 42%Rune Eaters 58%

The model gave 58% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 36:28.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo