DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionCCatChampwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TSTeam Shhakiriloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CatChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Team Shhakiri
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
559 picks · 670 bans
Tusk
506 picks · 335 bans
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 660 bans
Centaur Warrunner
445 picks · 529 bans
Snapfire
424 picks · 150 bans
Hoodwink
405 picks · 195 bans
Mars
374 picks · 516 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% CatChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% CatChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
CatChamp 74%Team Shhakiri 26%
The model gave 74% on CatChamp — the game was taken by CatChamp.
Game 2prediction correct
CatChamp 74%Team Shhakiri 26%
The model gave 74% on CatChamp — the game was taken by CatChamp.
Model check result
Model favoriteCatChamp · 74%
Series resultCatChamp 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2