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DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Cheeki_Breekiwin 1:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cheeki_Breeki

Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
33%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DarkLord^ · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Malik · 3 games
33%
Weaver
Weaver
OneJey · 2 games
100%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Xakoda · 1 game
0%
Axe
Axe
Malik · 1 game
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Xakoda · 1 game
100%

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
68%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
44%
Mars
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
560 picks · 669 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
506 picks · 335 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
483 picks · 661 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 529 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
428 picks · 152 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
409 picks · 196 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
377 picks · 517 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 501 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Cheeki_Breeki
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Cheeki_Breeki 75%Nemiga Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on Cheeki_Breeki — the game was taken by Cheeki_Breeki.
Model check result
Model favoriteCheeki_Breeki · 75%
Series resultCheeki_Breeki 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1