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BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Game Masterloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xm · 7 games
71%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
lou · 7 games
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Dy · 6 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 5 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
pLAnet · 5 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Dy · 5 games
20%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 5 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ws · 4 games
50%

Game Master

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 2 games
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Kaka · 2 games
100%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Monet · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Poloson · 1 game
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Monet · 1 game
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
7e · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Monet · 1 game
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
7e · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
568 picks · 645 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
504 picks · 333 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
495 picks · 686 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
467 picks · 177 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 530 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
436 picks · 208 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 530 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 503 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Game Master
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:33
Vici Gaming 71%Game Master 29%
The model gave 71% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:07:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenshiro
60% · 79 games58% · 31 game
ClinkzMonet
Clinkz
Axe
AxeWs
48% · 93 games50% · 113 games
Invoker7e
Invoker
Sand King
Sand KingXm
42% · 72 games48% · 79 games
PudgeJT-
Pudge
Muerta
MuertapLAnet
48% · 136 games48% · 245 games
MarsPoloson
Mars
Jakiro
Jakiroy`
45% · 180 games59% · 92 games
LionKaka
Lion
Game 2prediction missed19:27
Vici Gaming 72%Game Master 28%
The model gave 72% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Game Master in 37:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptershiro
47% · 354 games49% · 539 games
Dragon KnightMonet
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
47% · 307 games55% · 237 games
MagnusJT-
Magnus
Tidehunter
TidehunterWs
45% · 189 games47% · 60 games
Earth Spirit7e
Earth Spirit
Ringmaster
RingmasterpLAnet
50% · 276 games56% · 343 games
Shadow ShamanPoloson
Shadow Shaman
Tusk
Tusky`
48% · 410 games54% · 357 games
Shadow DemonKaka
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction correct40:33
Vici Gaming 71%Game Master 29%
The model gave 71% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:08:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperXm
45% · 60 games54% · 198 games
UrsaMonet
Ursa
Kez
Kezshiro
52% · 37 games45% · 50 games
Viper7e
Viper
Mars
MarsWs
45% · 162 games50% · 119 games
Primal BeastJT-
Primal Beast
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonpLAnet
47% · 137 games64% · 113 games
Naga SirenPoloson
Naga Siren
Jakiro
Jakiroy`
45% · 275 games54% · 191 game
Shadow ShamanKaka
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 88%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3