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BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kukuysloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Varizh · 8 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 7 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
inYourdreaM · 6 games
50%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Varizh · 6 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 6 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
inYourdreaM · 5 games
80%

Kukuys

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
580 picks · 631 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
510 picks · 329 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
499 picks · 686 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
481 picks · 185 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 530 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
440 picks · 219 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 544 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 532 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:30
REKONIX 53%Kukuys 47%
The model gave 53% on REKONIX — the game was taken by Kukuys in 33:30.
Game 2prediction correct36:12
REKONIX 53%Kukuys 47%
The model gave 53% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 34:05.
Game 3prediction correct37:18
REKONIX 53%Kukuys 47%
The model gave 53% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 38:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 53%
Series resultREKONIX 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3