?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 23 games
52%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 22 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 19 games
47%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
76%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
88%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Satanic · 16 games
56%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
No[o]ne · 15 games
47%

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 36 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 34 games
71%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 32 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
slimeyao · 32 games
72%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 29 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 28 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
slimeyao · 27 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
RESPECT · 27 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
582 picks · 631 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
511 picks · 328 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
500 picks · 687 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
484 picks · 186 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 530 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
441 picks · 222 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 543 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
380 picks · 535 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:19
PARIVISION 71%HULIGANI 29%
The model gave 71% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 40:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzSatanic
53% · 27 games53% · 106 games
Shadow Fiendv1olent-
Shadow Fiend
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
49% · 399 games44% · 357 games
Tinyerase
Tiny
Timbersaw
TimbersawDM
52% · 207 games47% · 7 games
OmniknightBb3px
Omniknight
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
54% · 125 games55% · 185 games
Shadow Demonslimeyao
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
ClockwerkDukalis
46% · 201 game47% · 304 games
JakiroRESPECT
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct25:13
PARIVISION 68%HULIGANI 32%
The model gave 68% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 34:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezSatanic
45% · 50 games38% · 77 games
Weaverv1olent-
Weaver
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNo[o]ne
48% · 393 games52% · 296 games
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
51% · 202 games54% · 291 game
Ember Spiriterase
Ember Spirit
Chen
ChenDukalis
57% · 176 games49% · 312 games
Tinyslimeyao
Tiny
Marci
Marci9Class
54% · 203 games45% · 48 games
Skywrath MageRESPECT
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 86%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2