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BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 1:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 36 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 33 games
70%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 32 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
slimeyao · 31 game
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 28 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 28 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
slimeyao · 27 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
RESPECT · 27 games
56%

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
68%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
44%
Mars
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
593 picks · 622 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
509 picks · 329 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
501 picks · 689 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
498 picks · 192 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
449 picks · 224 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 526 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
400 picks · 542 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
385 picks · 545 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total83% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:12
HULIGANI 83%Nemiga Gaming 17%
The model gave 83% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 37:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 83%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1