BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDirebornwin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zzez3loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Direborn
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
woMy · 3 games
Clockwerk
db- · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
Juju · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Cije · 2 games
Pugna
db- · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Juju · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Cije · 1 game
zez3
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
607 picks · 622 bans
Tusk
513 picks · 328 bans
Dragon Knight
512 picks · 689 bans
Snapfire
510 picks · 197 bans
Hoodwink
457 picks · 225 bans
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 533 bans
Mars
404 picks · 553 bans
Pangolier
387 picks · 555 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% zez3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% zez3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:12
Direborn 45%zez3 55%
The model gave 55% on zez3 — the game was taken by Direborn in 28:45.
Game 2prediction missed38:16
Direborn 45%zez3 55%
The model gave 55% on zez3 — the game was taken by Direborn in 33:47.
Model check result
Model favoritezez3 · 55%
Series resultDireborn 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2