?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Direbornloss 1:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Kukuyswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Direborn

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
woMy · 3 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
db- · 3 games
33%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Juju · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Cije · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugna
db- · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
0%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Juju · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%

Team Kukuys

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
JG · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
DJ · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kuku · 5 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Kuku · 4 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Armel · 4 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
JG · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
611 picks · 619 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
531 picks · 209 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
521 picks · 701 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
517 picks · 323 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
470 picks · 235 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
450 picks · 536 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
409 picks · 564 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
390 picks · 577 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Direborn 13%Team Kukuys 87%
The model gave 87% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Direborn.
Game 2prediction correct
Direborn 13%Team Kukuys 87%
The model gave 87% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys.
Game 3prediction correct
Direborn 13%Team Kukuys 87%
The model gave 87% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 87%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3