BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FJFúria Jovemloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Fúria Jovem
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
RdO · 4 games
Leshracoften banned
Sooths · 4 games
Mirana
Kingrd · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Windranger
Sooths · 3 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Duster · 3 games
Axeoften banned
Mandy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
330 picks · 121 bans
Lina
271 picks · 500 bans
Mars
261 picks · 433 bans
Luna
254 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
251 picks · 337 bans
Nyx Assassin
242 picks · 512 bans
Terrorblade
232 picks · 482 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% Fúria Jovem
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:10
4 Zoomers 78%Fúria Jovem 22%
The model gave 78% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 37:24.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 78%
Series result4 Zoomers 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1