BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO5
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 1:3series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:3
Team Undyingwin 3:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
405 picks · 643 bans
Lion
404 picks · 222 bans
Puck
402 picks · 994 bans
Grimstroke
373 picks · 357 bans
Snapfire
355 picks · 196 bans
Tiny
310 picks · 220 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 218 bans
Centaur Warrunner
279 picks · 378 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 66%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total50% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:42
4 Zoomers 50%Team Undying 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Team Undying in 46:02.
Game 2prediction correct32:21
4 Zoomers 50%Team Undying 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 40:30.
Game 3prediction missed16:31
4 Zoomers 50%Team Undying 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Team Undying in 38:17.
Game 4prediction missed25:33
4 Zoomers 50%Team Undying 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Team Undying in 39:13.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 50%
Series resultTeam Undying 1:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4