Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 8 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
444 picks · 991 bans
Void Spirit
426 picks · 586 bans
Death Prophet
366 picks · 701 bans
Mars
350 picks · 612 bans
Earth Spirit
325 picks · 307 bans
Grimstroke
294 picks · 259 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 184 bans
Phoenix
283 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 65%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect