The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 1:0
LTLargo ta druziloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4ikibamboni
Tusk
waveformn · 4 games
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 2 games
Dark Willow
ani-san · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
Techies
waveformn · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
Bane
ani-san · 1 game
Largo ta druzi
Centaur Warrunner
Ghostik · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
TeaGuvnor · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Dendi · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
KXT · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
IHTL · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 296 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 613 bans
Puck
346 picks · 986 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 517 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% 4ikibamboni
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% 4ikibamboni
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:17
4ikibamboni 71%Largo ta druzi 29%
The model gave 71% on 4ikibamboni — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni in 23:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendyowaai
SnapfireDendi
PuckEthereal
Faceless VoidIHTL
EnigmaAnkou
PudgeGhostik
Dark Willowani-san
LichKXT
Tuskwaveformn
Model check result
Model favorite4ikibamboni · 85%
Series result4ikibamboni 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1