?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 38 · BO3
result vs prediction
4ikibamboniwin 2:1
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Power Rangersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4ikibamboni

Axe
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 5 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
waveformn · 5 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ani-san · 4 games
75%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 4 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 4 games
75%
Bane
Bane
ani-san · 3 games
0%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
yowaai · 3 games
100%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
ani-san · 3 games
100%

Power Rangers

Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 37 games
59%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 36 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 29 games
52%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 28 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 21 game
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
632 picks · 431 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
552 picks · 311 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
486 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
465 picks · 392 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
434 picks · 645 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
350 picks · 1015 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 533 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 304 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% 4ikibamboni
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:56
4ikibamboni 29%Power Rangers 71%
The model gave 71% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 45:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceryowaai
54% · 24 games60% · 105 games
LargoAlberkaaa
Largo
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAnkou
36% · 129 games49% · 370 games
Storm Spiritnicky`cool
Storm Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireEthereal
42% · 237 games59% · 46 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Tusk
Tuskwaveformn
45% · 381 game53% · 233 games
WindrangerImmersion
Windranger
Ringmaster
Ringmasterani-san
48% · 212 games61% · 229 games
BaneHduo
Bane
Game 2prediction missed37:31
4ikibamboni 32%Power Rangers 68%
The model gave 68% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni in 33:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidyowaai
52% · 121 game52% · 173 games
Nature's ProphetTA2000
Nature's Prophet
Viper
ViperEthereal
43% · 144 games53% · 237 games
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Snapfire
Batrider
BatriderAnkou
55% · 303 games41% · 36 games
Death Prophetnicky`cool
Death Prophet
Marci
Marciwaveformn
52% · 214 games51% · 128 games
RubickHduo
Rubick
Dark Willow
Dark Willowani-san
46% · 238 games50% · 446 games
TuskImmersion
Tusk
Game 3prediction missed35:22
4ikibamboni 31%Power Rangers 69%
The model gave 69% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni in 32:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendyowaai
54% · 319 games46% · 296 games
WindrangerTA2000
Windranger
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAnkou
49% · 174 games47% · 389 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Death Prophet
Death ProphetEthereal
55% · 31 game49% · 464 games
Snapfirenicky`cool
Snapfire
Tusk
Tuskwaveformn
49% · 522 games51% · 406 games
Shadow DemonImmersion
Shadow Demon
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkani-san
53% · 598 games49% · 89 games
LichHduo
Lich
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 82%
Series result4ikibamboni 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3