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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
4ikibamboniloss 0:1
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4ikibamboni

Tusk
Tusksignature
waveformn · 13 games
62%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 11 games
45%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 10 games
40%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
waveformn · 10 games
70%
Bane
Baneoften banned
ani-san · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 8 games
63%
Viper
Vipersignature
Ethereal · 8 games
88%
Windranger
Windranger
waveformn · 8 games
13%

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 30 games
53%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rain · 16 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 15 games
73%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
not me · 14 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 14 games
57%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Shigetsu · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
490 picks · 331 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
351 picks · 462 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 528 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 503 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
316 picks · 651 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
290 picks · 319 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 200 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
4ikibamboni 18%Yellow Submarine 82%
The model gave 82% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 57:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 82%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1