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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
4Piratesloss 0:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4Pirates

Muerta
Muerta
ariel · 6 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 5 games
60%
Lion
Lion
ariel · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
PERDAN4IK · 4 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
25%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Otaker · 4 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
75%
Underlord
Underlord
мистер мораль · 4 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 16 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 13 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 12 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 12 games
58%
Underlord
Underlord
MikSa` · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
485 picks · 666 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
423 picks · 498 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 542 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
360 picks · 183 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
332 picks · 353 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
329 picks · 436 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
314 picks · 601 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 572 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 27%
Hero pool strength53% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
4Pirates 49%Nemiga Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 51%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1