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CIS Battle 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Peru Rejectsloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
VP.Prodigywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Peru Rejects

Snapfire
Snapfire
Michael · 12 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 11 games
36%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Elmisho · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Elmisho · 9 games
33%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Elmisho · 9 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 8 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Michael · 8 games
38%

VP.Prodigy

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 9 games
44%
Axe
Axe
takizawa · 8 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Serenada · 8 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 8 games
13%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
cutie · 7 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
armageddon · 7 games
14%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
raregods · 7 games
14%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
617 picks · 603 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
573 picks · 232 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
536 picks · 716 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
524 picks · 319 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
485 picks · 242 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
471 picks · 548 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
426 picks · 598 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
412 picks · 399 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Peru Rejects
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Peru Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Peru Rejects 54%VP.Prodigy 46%
The model gave 54% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Game 2prediction missed
Peru Rejects 54%VP.Prodigy 46%
The model gave 54% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Model check result
Model favoritePeru Rejects · 54%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2