Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO5
result vs predictionseries probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
Hoodwink
Save- · 28 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 28 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 25 games
Jakiro
Kataomi · 24 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Slardarsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
PARIVISION
Kezsignature
Satanic · 31 game
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 30 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 27 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Tinysignature
Satanic · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
557 picks · 395 bans
Rubick
460 picks · 275 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 383 bans
Clockwerk
344 picks · 634 bans
Pangolier
342 picks · 463 bans
Windranger
329 picks · 234 bans
Phoenix
314 picks · 270 bans
Ember Spirit
300 picks · 453 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 78%
Hero pool strength53% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 6
Model total66% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:10
BETBOOM TEAM 41%PARIVISION 59%
The model gave 59% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TimbersawMieRo
Phantom LancerSatanic
ClinkzKiritych
BeastmasterNoticed
SlardargpK~
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
Keeper of the LightSave-
Dark Willow9Class
Treant ProtectorKataomi
Winter WyvernDukalis
Game 2prediction correct27:34
BETBOOM TEAM 43%PARIVISION 57%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:02:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerKiritych
LifestealerSatanic
LargoMieRo
InvokerNo[o]ne
Earth SpiritgpK~
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
WindrangerSave-
Rubick9Class
BaneKataomi
HoodwinkDukalis
Game 3prediction correct16:32
BETBOOM TEAM 43%PARIVISION 57%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterMieRo
TinySatanic
KezKiritych
NecrophosNoticed
Earth SpiritgpK~
PuckNo[o]ne
Keeper of the LightSave-
Dark Willow9Class
Winter WyvernKataomi
HoodwinkDukalis
Game 4prediction correct7:29
BETBOOM TEAM 41%PARIVISION 59%
The model gave 59% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 36:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
InvokergpK~
LifestealerSatanic
KezKiritych
PangolierNo[o]ne
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
SlardarNoticed
Shadow DemonSave-
Keeper of the Light9Class
DisruptorKataomi
HoodwinkDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 66%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4