European Pro League Season 33 · BO3
result vs prediction
Most Wantedwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Most Wanted
Tusksignature
Ponlo · 23 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Ponlo · 17 games
Marssignature
fortniteMan · 16 games
Bristlebacksignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
Marcisignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
niche · 15 games
Slardarsignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
Chensignature
Rein · 14 games
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 18 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 12 games
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
744 picks · 323 bans
Jakiro
607 picks · 589 bans
Hoodwink
596 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
585 picks · 743 bans
Tusk
554 picks · 336 bans
Disruptor
540 picks · 519 bans
Centaur Warrunner
517 picks · 605 bans
Mars
506 picks · 748 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 33%
Hero pool strength62% Most Wanted
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Most Wanted
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Most Wanted 78%Nemiga Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted.
Game 2prediction correct
Most Wanted 78%Nemiga Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted.
Model check result
Model favoriteMost Wanted · 78%
Series resultMost Wanted 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2