Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
Tusk
Saksa · 18 games
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 18 games
PARIVISION
Kezsignature
Satanic · 31 game
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 30 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 28 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
571 picks · 406 bans
Rubick
480 picks · 282 bans
Tiny
399 picks · 390 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 476 bans
Clockwerk
345 picks · 634 bans
Windranger
330 picks · 234 bans
Phoenix
325 picks · 294 bans
Ember Spirit
309 picks · 460 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 78%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total67% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:28
Team Yandex 42%PARIVISION 58%
The model gave 58% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 31:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark SeerDM
TinySatanic
Templar AssassinWatson
UnderlordNoticed
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
MiranaSaksa
HoodwinkDukalis
TuskMalady
Dark Willow9Class
Game 2prediction missed28:25
Team Yandex 39%PARIVISION 61%
The model gave 61% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:05:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
Nature's ProphetSatanic
KunkkaDM
BeastmasterNoticed
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
EnchantressMalady
Keeper of the Light9Class
HoodwinkSaksa
Ogre MagiDukalis
Game 3prediction correct7:36
Team Yandex 41%PARIVISION 59%
The model gave 59% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 37:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerWatson
Lone DruidSatanic
PangolierChira JUNIOR
InvokerNo[o]ne
EnigmaDM
AxeNoticed
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Windranger9Class
JakiroMalady
Winter WyvernDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 67%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3