Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры Сбера 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Казахстанloss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Иранwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Казахстан
No games played over 6 months.
Иран
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
755 picks · 342 bans
Jakiro
601 picks · 577 bans
Hoodwink
600 picks · 304 bans
Dragon Knight
589 picks · 745 bans
Tusk
553 picks · 336 bans
Disruptor
544 picks · 532 bans
Centaur Warrunner
516 picks · 606 bans
Mars
505 picks · 767 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Казахстан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Иран
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:43
Казахстан 46%Иран 54%
The model gave 54% on Иран — the game was taken by Казахстан in 58:45.
Game 2prediction correct9:31
Казахстан 46%Иран 54%
The model gave 54% on Иран — the game was taken by Иран in 31:16.
Game 3prediction correct12:45
Казахстан 46%Иран 54%
The model gave 54% on Иран — the game was taken by Иран in 36:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteИран · 54%
Series resultИран 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3