BLAST Slam IX. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Tideboundwin 1:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 1:0
RGResp Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tidebound
No games played over 6 months.
Resp Gaming
Lone Druidoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
Ringmaster
QYQX · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
Baneoften banned
QYQX · 2 games
Dark Willow
Juju · 2 games
Doomoften banned
生死 · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
569 picks · 373 bans
Dark Willow
505 picks · 306 bans
Mirana
427 picks · 189 bans
Winter Wyvern
401 picks · 359 bans
Ember Spirit
359 picks · 551 bans
Windranger
353 picks · 175 bans
Earth Spirit
311 picks · 570 bans
Centaur Warrunner
304 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Team Tidebound
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Team Tidebound
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Tidebound 95%Resp Gaming 5%
The model gave 95% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by Team Tidebound.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tidebound · 95%
Series resultTeam Tidebound 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1