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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 31 game
74%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 24 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 21 game
62%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 21 game
62%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 33 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 25 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 20 games
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 16 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
y` · 15 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
577 picks · 408 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
489 picks · 289 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
406 picks · 392 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 485 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
345 picks · 634 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
331 picks · 236 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
328 picks · 310 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 463 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total77% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:38
Team Falcons 64%Vici Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 57:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfire
SnapfireMalr1ne
52% · 185 games51% · 33 games
LinaXm
Lina
Tiny
TinySkiter
51% · 224 games49% · 82 games
Dark SeerFaith_bian
Dark Seer
Windranger
WindrangerATF
52% · 145 games51% · 21 game
Spectreshiro
Spectre
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
49% · 120 games53% · 64 games
Miranay`
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSneyking
46% · 22 games47% · 496 games
TuskXinQ
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed13:24
Team Falcons 62%Vici Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 32:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMalr1ne
45% · 234 games52% · 391 game
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkiter
32% · 157 games63% · 56 games
Lone Druidshiro
Lone Druid
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerATF
46% · 105 games53% · 52 games
SlarkXm
Slark
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
41% · 171 game59% · 173 games
Keeper of the LightXinQ
Keeper of the Light
Ringmaster
RingmasterSneyking
41% · 165 games65% · 160 games
Treant Protectory`
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 77%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2