?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 38 games
68%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 34 games
74%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 28 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 27 games
56%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 24 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 22 games
82%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 22 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 21 game
71%

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 22 games
59%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 20 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 19 games
68%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 18 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 16 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 16 games
75%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
XinQ · 15 games
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
763 picks · 351 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 303 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
599 picks · 554 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
587 picks · 734 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
551 picks · 332 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
549 picks · 539 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
514 picks · 603 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
509 picks · 763 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total86% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:27
Team Falcons 73%Xtreme Gaming 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 40:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinySkiter
49% · 246 games40% · 16 games
KezAme
Kez
Viper
ViperMalr1ne
56% · 32 games47% · 102 games
Primal BeastXxs
Primal Beast
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerATF
57% · 259 games50% · 93 games
Void SpiritNothingToSay
Void Spirit
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenCr1t-
49% · 61 game45% · 152 games
Shadow Demonfy
Shadow Demon
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
65% · 30 games45% · 265 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed13:40
Team Falcons 73%Xtreme Gaming 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 29:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
48% · 319 games48% · 70 games
KezAme
Kez
Ursa
UrsaSkiter
53% · 200 games51% · 391 game
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsATF
45% · 208 games52% · 176 games
Primal BeastXxs
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskCr1t-
50% · 388 games43% · 267 games
Muertafy
Muerta
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
62% · 104 games50% · 315 games
RingmasterxNova
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 86%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2