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Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Phoenixloss 0:2
series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Phoenix

Pugna
Pugna
DuBu · 2 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Forev · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MP · 1 game
0%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Forev · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
MP · 1 game
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
QO · 1 game
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Febby · 1 game
0%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
QO · 1 game
0%

Nigma Galaxy

Mars
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 20 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
SumaiL · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
GH · 18 games
61%
Bane
Banesignature
OmaR · 17 games
76%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 16 games
56%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
SumaiL · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
776 picks · 360 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 305 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
592 picks · 527 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
586 picks · 729 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
553 picks · 550 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
548 picks · 332 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
510 picks · 587 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
510 picks · 765 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength59% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:38
Team Phoenix 31%Nigma Galaxy 69%
The model gave 69% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 31:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaQO
57% · 109 games51% · 214 games
UrsaYawaR
Ursa
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeMP
47% · 383 games51% · 122 games
Windrangerw33
Windranger
Axe
AxeForev
52% · 202 games47% · 187 games
PhoenixMinD_ContRoL
Phoenix
Dark Willow
Dark WillowFebby
50% · 239 games47% · 411 games
TuskislA
Tusk
Disruptor
DisruptorDuBu
46% · 283 games53% · 282 games
WarlockNagato
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct20:41
Team Phoenix 32%Nigma Galaxy 68%
The model gave 68% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 27:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightMP
55% · 28 games50% · 152 games
Templar AssassinYawaR
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQO
51% · 248 games50% · 93 games
Invokerw33
Invoker
Timbersaw
TimbersawForev
47% · 176 games54% · 106 games
Primal BeastMinD_ContRoL
Primal Beast
Ringmaster
RingmasterDuBu
44% · 110 games49% · 75 games
LionislA
Lion
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidFebby
59% · 42 games48% · 178 games
PugnaNagato
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 83%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2