Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
TpaBoTeaMwin 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PTPaper Tigersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TpaBoTeaM
Pudge
DkFogas · 3 games
Dark Willow
Immersion · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 2 games
Ancient Apparition
633 · 1 game
Clockwerk
633 · 1 game
Disruptor
633 · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
bashka · 1 game
Hoodwink
Immersion · 1 game
Paper Tigers
Juggernaut
Cty · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Freeze · 2 games
Skywrath Mage
Op · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Freeze · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cty · 1 game
Bane
BurNIng · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Op · 1 game
Disruptor
BurNIng · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
778 picks · 360 bans
Hoodwink
615 picks · 305 bans
Jakiro
592 picks · 525 bans
Dragon Knight
585 picks · 729 bans
Disruptor
553 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
549 picks · 332 bans
Mars
512 picks · 764 bans
Centaur Warrunner
511 picks · 585 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Paper Tigers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Paper Tigers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:21
TpaBoTeaM 43%Paper Tigers 57%
The model gave 57% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by TpaBoTeaM in 43:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kezbashka
AbaddonCty
VenomancerTpaBoMaH
Dragon KnightFreeze
PudgeDkFogas
Keeper of the Light7e
Warlock633
TuskOp
Dark WillowImmersion
PugnaBurNIng
Game 2prediction missed37:18
TpaBoTeaM 44%Paper Tigers 56%
The model gave 56% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by TpaBoTeaM in 35:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassinbashka
Queen of PainCty
PugnaTpaBoMaH
Dragon Knight7e
SlardarDkFogas
AxeFreeze
Dark WillowImmersion
Skywrath MageOp
Disruptor633
VenomancerBurNIng
Model check result
Model favoritePaper Tigers · 62%
Series resultTpaBoTeaM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2