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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Yandexwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 37 games
54%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
68%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 31 game
68%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 31 game
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Save- · 23 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 24 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 22 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 22 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 20 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 18 games
78%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 18 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
780 picks · 361 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 305 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
591 picks · 513 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
579 picks · 722 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
555 picks · 552 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
544 picks · 329 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
511 picks · 763 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
506 picks · 579 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 66%
Hero pool strength51% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:9
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Team Yandex 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
51% · 361 game52% · 237 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Kez
Kezkiyotaka
44% · 52 games53% · 178 games
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
Void Spirit
Mars
MarsMieRo
49% · 345 games51% · 404 games
PangolierNoticed
Pangolier
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
47% · 332 games52% · 430 games
TuskMalady
Tusk
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
48% · 285 games52% · 126 games
WindrangerSaksa
Windranger
Game 2prediction missed28:52
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Yandex 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 51:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
46% · 150 games54% · 266 games
Nature's ProphetChira JUNIOR
Nature's Prophet
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
55% · 238 games52% · 228 games
Monkey KingWatson
Monkey King
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
54% · 299 games49% · 356 games
WarlockMalady
Warlock
Jakiro
JakiroSave-
47% · 485 games49% · 197 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
55% · 98 games40% · 223 games
MuertaSaksa
Muerta
Game 3prediction missed11:38
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Team Yandex 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 35:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKiritych
52% · 57 games52% · 313 games
Nature's ProphetChira JUNIOR
Nature's Prophet
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightkiyotaka
50% · 270 games50% · 37 games
KezWatson
Kez
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
47% · 143 games50% · 228 games
SlardarNoticed
Slardar
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
49% · 233 games51% · 165 games
EnchantressMalady
Enchantress
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
51% · 233 games48% · 193 games
WindrangerSaksa
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3