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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 0:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincerewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 59 games
73%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 46 games
54%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 44 games
57%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 37 games
65%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 36 games
69%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 31 game
65%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
MidOne · 31 game
65%

Natus Vincere

Disruptor
Disruptor
Riddys · 24 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 24 games
58%
Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 22 games
77%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Zayac · 22 games
64%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Riddys · 22 games
64%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
gotthejuice · 21 game
62%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Riddys · 18 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gotthejuice · 18 games
72%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 360 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 303 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
585 picks · 492 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
567 picks · 711 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
554 picks · 550 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
536 picks · 321 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
508 picks · 757 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
501 picks · 568 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% MOUZ
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total67% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:23
MOUZ 60%Natus Vincere 40%
The model gave 60% on MOUZ — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 35:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMidOne
55% · 110 games56% · 245 games
Templar Assassingotthejuice
Templar Assassin
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBOOM
49% · 250 games49% · 137 games
InvokerNiku
Invoker
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordCrystallis
45% · 81 game50% · 176 games
Tidehunterpma
Tidehunter
Warlock
WarlockSeleri
46% · 370 games51% · 173 games
ClockwerkZayac
Clockwerk
Tusk
Tuskyamich
53% · 394 games45% · 474 games
JakiroRiddys
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed21:27
MOUZ 61%Natus Vincere 39%
The model gave 61% on MOUZ — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 49:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMidOne
56% · 130 games40% · 292 games
Queen of Paingotthejuice
Queen of Pain
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightCrystallis
49% · 296 games50% · 111 games
Underlordpma
Underlord
Tidehunter
TidehunterBOOM
56% · 142 games60% · 47 games
ViperNiku
Viper
Tusk
Tuskyamich
50% · 335 games47% · 345 games
WarlockRiddys
Warlock
Undying
UndyingSeleri
52% · 97 games49% · 205 games
ClockwerkZayac
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 67%
Series resultNatus Vincere 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2