Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LRLegends Rebootedloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
Tusksignature
GH · 21 game
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 20 games
Muerta
SumaiL · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 18 games
Banesignature
OmaR · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 15 games
Elder Titan
GH · 15 games
Legends Rebooted
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
776 picks · 360 bans
Hoodwink
606 picks · 301 bans
Jakiro
577 picks · 481 bans
Dragon Knight
561 picks · 698 bans
Disruptor
554 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
531 picks · 318 bans
Mars
502 picks · 755 bans
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 562 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:3
Nigma Galaxy 68%Legends Rebooted 32%
The model gave 68% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 17:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batriderw33
Dragon KnightHao
AbaddonYawaR
DoomELeVeN
UnderlordMinD_ContRoL
PuckDstones
Void SpiritislA
ChenChuaN
Shadow DemonNagato
TuskMushi
Game 2prediction correct22:8
Nigma Galaxy 69%Legends Rebooted 31%
The model gave 69% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 27:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterYawaR
JuggernautHao
Pudgew33
Dragon KnightELeVeN
Centaur WarrunnerMinD_ContRoL
SlardarDstones
Shadow DemonNagato
WarlockChuaN
MagnusislA
TuskMushi
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 84%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2