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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PlayTimeloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 33 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 20 games
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 18 games
39%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
y` · 15 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 15 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 15 games
73%

PlayTime

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 18 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 15 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Elmisho · 13 games
31%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
573 picks · 402 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
486 picks · 289 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 386 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
361 picks · 485 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 632 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
329 picks · 236 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
328 picks · 309 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
311 picks · 457 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Vici Gaming 57%PlayTime 43%
The model gave 57% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 57%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1