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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 1:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
OGwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 21 game
62%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
62%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 21 game
67%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 20 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Watson · 16 games
63%

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 32 games
44%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Daze · 27 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 27 games
48%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 22 games
36%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Stormstormer · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Daze · 21 game
48%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
771 picks · 355 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
584 picks · 299 bans
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
552 picks · 549 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
542 picks · 418 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
531 picks · 637 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
496 picks · 297 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
482 picks · 739 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
466 picks · 525 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total61% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:53
Team Yandex 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by OG in 41:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinWatson
54% · 191 game52% · 263 games
Nature's ProphetYopaj
Nature's Prophet
Void Spirit
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
53% · 114 games53% · 123 games
WindrangerNatsumi
Windranger
Underlord
UnderlordNoticed
49% · 82 games43% · 178 games
AxeForce
Axe
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageSaksa
47% · 67 games51% · 40 games
VenomancerSkem
Venomancer
Tusk
TuskMalady
46% · 340 games53% · 190 games
Shadow DemonTims
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct33:14
Team Yandex 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 38:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomNoticed
54% · 136 games51% · 136 games
WindrangerNatsumi
Windranger
Marci
MarciWatson
54% · 189 games45% · 326 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
49% · 298 games48% · 178 games
UndyingForce
Undying
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSaksa
47% · 308 games59% · 76 games
Keeper of the LightSkem
Keeper of the Light
Disruptor
DisruptorMalady
48% · 280 games46% · 495 games
SnapfireTims
Snapfire
Game 3prediction missed9:31
Team Yandex 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by OG in 34:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomWatson
53% · 206 games48% · 121 game
WindrangerNatsumi
Windranger
Sand King
Sand KingChira JUNIOR
55% · 175 games49% · 394 games
Dragon KnightYopaj
Dragon Knight
Mars
MarsNoticed
46% · 217 games42% · 124 games
AxeForce
Axe
Pugna
PugnaMalady
44% · 195 games55% · 162 games
ChenSkem
Chen
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSaksa
55% · 220 games53% · 212 games
ClockwerkTims
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 61%
Series resultOG 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3