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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegionloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 32 games
47%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 23 games
65%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 22 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Oli · 18 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 17 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 16 games
19%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Poloson · 16 games
31%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 16 games
31%

GamerLegion

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 6 games
67%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 5 games
20%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Speeed · 5 games
80%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 4 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 4 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 3 games
0%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
RCY · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
771 picks · 355 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
584 picks · 299 bans
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
552 picks · 549 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
542 picks · 418 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
531 picks · 637 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
496 picks · 297 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
482 picks · 739 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
466 picks · 525 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:15
Yakult Brothers 56%GamerLegion 44%
The model gave 56% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 28:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMoon
58% · 337 games46% · 311 games
Queen of PainRCY
Queen of Pain
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeflyfly
56% · 299 games48% · 458 games
Dragon KnightYamSun
Dragon Knight
Primal Beast
Primal Beastzeal
51% · 158 games44% · 215 games
AxeFayde
Axe
Warlock
Warlock天命
54% · 346 games47% · 338 games
SnapfireBignum
Snapfire
Tusk
TuskBoBoKa
44% · 462 games52% · 280 games
PugnaSpeeed
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed6:32
Yakult Brothers 58%GamerLegion 42%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 24:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark Seerzeal
49% · 243 games51% · 397 games
TerrorbladeYamSun
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritflyfly
42% · 479 games55% · 480 games
Ember SpiritRCY
Ember Spirit
Slardar
SlardarMoon
46% · 241 game55% · 285 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Tiny
TinyBoBoKa
47% · 620 games54% · 393 games
BatriderSpeeed
Batrider
Pugna
Pugna天命
52% · 244 games48% · 272 games
RingmasterBignum
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction correct23:8
Yakult Brothers 59%GamerLegion 41%
The model gave 59% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 23:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingflyfly
56% · 276 games50% · 305 games
TerrorbladeYamSun
Terrorblade
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMoon
55% · 402 games48% · 288 games
Storm SpiritRCY
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerzeal
52% · 393 games48% · 363 games
PangolierFayde
Pangolier
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerBoBoKa
43% · 70 games50% · 257 games
WarlockSpeeed
Warlock
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
51% · 285 games46% · 213 games
DisruptorBignum
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 64%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3