DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwink
Save- · 34 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 31 game
Banesignature
Kataomi · 29 games
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
Shadow Shaman
Save- · 23 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 21 game
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Xtreme Gaming
Puckoften banned
Xm · 19 games
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 18 games
Warlocksignature
xNova · 18 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Disruptor
xNova · 15 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Xxs · 14 games
Tusk
XinQ · 14 games
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
771 picks · 355 bans
Hoodwink
584 picks · 299 bans
Disruptor
552 picks · 549 bans
Jakiro
542 picks · 418 bans
Dragon Knight
531 picks · 637 bans
Tusk
496 picks · 297 bans
Mars
482 picks · 739 bans
Centaur Warrunner
466 picks · 525 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:4
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Xtreme Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterKiritych
SlardarXxs
BeastmasterMieRo
HuskarAme
Queen of PaingpK~
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
MuertaSave-
Hoodwinkfy
TuskKataomi
WarlockxNova
Game 2prediction correct18:4
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Xtreme Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautKiritych
Phantom LancerAme
LycanMieRo
LeshracNothingToSay
Dragon KnightgpK~
MarsXxs
TuskKataomi
Shadow Demonfy
RingmasterSave-
DisruptorxNova
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2