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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 21 game
43%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 20 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
70%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Satanic · 15 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
No[o]ne · 15 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
No[o]ne · 14 games
71%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 14 games
79%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 13 games
46%

GamerLegion

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 6 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Speeed · 5 games
80%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 4 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 4 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 3 games
0%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
0%
Axe
Axe
Fayde · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
771 picks · 354 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
580 picks · 299 bans
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 550 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
535 picks · 407 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
520 picks · 633 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
492 picks · 292 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
474 picks · 743 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 517 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:10
PARIVISION 81%GamerLegion 19%
The model gave 81% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 34:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinSatanic
56% · 200 games51% · 145 games
TimbersawFayde
Timbersaw
Viper
ViperNo[o]ne
53% · 49 games52% · 135 games
Void SpiritRCY
Void Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
48% · 255 games49% · 265 games
Dragon KnightYamSun
Dragon Knight
Pugna
PugnaDukalis
49% · 227 games46% · 41 game
Spirit BreakerBignum
Spirit Breaker
Pudge
Pudge9Class
52% · 70 games45% · 215 games
WarlockSpeeed
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct31:13
PARIVISION 80%GamerLegion 20%
The model gave 80% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSatanic
51% · 286 games52% · 333 games
TerrorbladeYamSun
Terrorblade
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
46% · 228 games45% · 33 games
ViperRCY
Viper
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
49% · 219 games46% · 142 games
Primal BeastFayde
Primal Beast
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage9Class
48% · 51 game57% · 186 games
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
50% · 266 games53% · 356 games
BatriderBignum
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 94%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2