Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academyloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aim Possiblewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit Academy
Witch Doctor
Aidar · 10 games
Dark Willow
Aidar · 8 games
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 7 games
Disruptoroften banned
kyford · 7 games
Enchantresssignature
kyford · 6 games
Timbersawoften banned
86 · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SunshineRR · 5 games
Earthshakeroften banned
86 · 5 games
Aim Possible
Dazzle
Aidar · 6 games
Magnus
zenica · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 4 games
Warlock
Aidar · 4 games
Bane
Garbat1y · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
zenica · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
Garbat1y · 2 games
Doomoften banned
chempik · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
772 picks · 354 bans
Hoodwink
580 picks · 299 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 551 bans
Jakiro
533 picks · 405 bans
Dragon Knight
519 picks · 630 bans
Tusk
490 picks · 292 bans
Mars
472 picks · 742 bans
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 515 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% Team Spirit Academy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Aim Possible
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:30
Team Spirit Academy 48%Aim Possible 52%
The model gave 52% on Aim Possible — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 37:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskarrubikon155
Doomzenica
Puck86
JakiroGarbat1y
TidehunterSunshineRR
TechiesAidar
Dazzlekyford
Game 2prediction correct9:34
Team Spirit Academy 47%Aim Possible 53%
The model gave 53% on Aim Possible — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 28:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaverrubikon155
Slardarzenica
Queen of Pain86
DisruptorGarbat1y
Primal BeastSunshineRR
Witch DoctorAidar
Jakirokyford
Model check result
Model favoriteAim Possible · 57%
Series resultAim Possible 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2