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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LGD Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 28 games
39%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 20 games
45%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 20 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 20 games
35%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 17 games
29%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
47%
Rubick
Rubick
Hellscream · 17 games
29%

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 17 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 16 games
69%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
TaiLung · 9 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 440 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
527 picks · 310 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 396 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
388 picks · 558 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
368 picks · 380 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
346 picks · 636 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 494 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
341 picks · 238 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 69%
Hero pool strength64% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Virtus.pro 42%LGD Gaming 58%
The model gave 58% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 58%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1