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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circleloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 16 games
69%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
TaiLung · 9 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 8 games
75%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 31 game
42%
Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
54%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 24 games
46%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 21 game
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 20 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
35%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
620 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
535 picks · 309 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 396 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
394 picks · 564 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
372 picks · 390 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 635 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 497 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
341 picks · 237 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:23
LGD Gaming 84%Inner Circle 16%
The model gave 84% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 45:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosYuma
50% · 52 games47% · 207 games
Kez423
Kez
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritTaiLung
48% · 285 games45% · 73 games
Enigmalaise
Enigma
Largo
LargoWisper
51% · 119 games45% · 457 games
SnapfireStojkov
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
56% · 485 games50% · 314 games
ClockwerkFernans
Clockwerk
Bane
BaneKJ
53% · 194 games54% · 84 games
Winter WyvernSe
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct31:17
LGD Gaming 83%Inner Circle 17%
The model gave 83% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 39:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidYuma
52% · 46 games45% · 94 games
Sven423
Sven
Tiny
TinyTaiLung
51% · 403 games51% · 462 games
PuckStojkov
Puck
Snapfire
SnapfireWisper
53% · 375 games59% · 91 game
Enigmalaise
Enigma
Phoenix
PhoenixKJ
51% · 275 games44% · 208 games
EnchantressSe
Enchantress
Windranger
WindrangerThiolicor
50% · 274 games44% · 518 games
TuskFernans
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 96%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2