Открытые киберспортивные игры 2025 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs predictionKKnightsloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Runa Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Knights
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Otaker · 3 games
Snapfire
ani-san · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Ankou · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 1 game
Jakiro
waveformn · 1 game
Leshrac
Ethereal · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 1 game
Ringmaster
ani-san · 1 game
Runa Team
Disruptoroften banned
Hduo · 56 games
Snapfiresignature
queezy · 52 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 48 games
Batridersignature
queezy · 47 games
Warlocksignature
Hduo · 40 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 39 games
Dark Willow
queezy · 38 games
Timbersawsignature
nicky`cool · 38 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
768 picks · 355 bans
Hoodwink
576 picks · 300 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 555 bans
Jakiro
527 picks · 378 bans
Dragon Knight
508 picks · 614 bans
Tusk
483 picks · 285 bans
Mars
465 picks · 743 bans
Centaur Warrunner
447 picks · 506 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 61%
Hero pool strength53% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Runa Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:41
Knights 33%Runa Team 67%
The model gave 67% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 51:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightEthereal
Terrorbladenesfeer
PangolierAnkou
MarciAlberkaaa
PudgeOtaker
Tinynicky`cool
Snapfirewaveformn
Hoodwinkqueezy
Skywrath Mageani-san
WarlockHduo
Game 2prediction correct12:30
Knights 34%Runa Team 66%
The model gave 66% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 19:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritEthereal
Terrorbladenesfeer
PudgeOtaker
Batridernicky`cool
SlardarAnkou
MarsAlberkaaa
Snapfirewaveformn
Shadow Demonqueezy
Ringmasterani-san
DisruptorHduo
Model check result
Model favoriteRuna Team · 77%
Series resultRuna Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2