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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusk
yamich · 31 game
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallis · 26 games
54%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 23 games
39%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 21 game
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 20 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 19 games
53%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 32 games
47%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
39%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 15 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 15 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
621 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
539 picks · 309 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 392 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
397 picks · 568 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
371 picks · 398 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 635 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 498 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
340 picks · 236 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:41
MOUZ 43%Vici Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerMidOne
52% · 142 games41% · 9 games
LinaXm
Lina
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerCrystallis
49% · 30 games55% · 81 game
Faceless Voidshiro
Faceless Void
Batrider
BatriderBOOM
55% · 323 games47% · 164 games
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Pudge
Pudgeyamich
44% · 69 games52% · 133 games
ClockwerkXinQ
Clockwerk
Undying
UndyingPanto
47% · 119 games50% · 296 games
Hoodwinky`
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct44:49
MOUZ 44%Vici Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 1:13:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingCrystallis
51% · 249 games50% · 282 games
Windrangershiro
Windranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMidOne
53% · 583 games46% · 443 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Batrider
BatriderBOOM
54% · 426 games47% · 327 games
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Beastmaster
Ringmaster
RingmasterPanto
49% · 380 games48% · 142 games
Keeper of the LightXinQ
Keeper of the Light
Pudge
Pudgeyamich
53% · 93 games50% · 537 games
Hoodwinky`
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 62%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2