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CCT Season 2 Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Publicwin 2:0
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Public

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jeezy · 10 games
30%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Adzantick · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Adzantick · 7 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jeezy · 7 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Jeezy · 7 games
57%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
mangekyou · 7 games
43%
Weaver
Weaver
Shad · 7 games
57%
Broodmother
Broodmother
mangekyou · 6 games
50%

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 30 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 28 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 25 games
64%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 25 games
52%
Doom
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 23 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 23 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 23 games
57%
Warlock
Warlock
RESPECT · 22 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
775 picks · 360 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
580 picks · 301 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
563 picks · 567 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
515 picks · 362 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
500 picks · 608 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
483 picks · 278 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
468 picks · 751 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
437 picks · 499 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:9
Team Public 35%HULIGANI 65%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Public in 28:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightShigetsu
46% · 264 games44% · 77 games
Juggernautv1olent-
Juggernaut
Timbersaw
Timbersawmangekyou
51% · 160 games46% · 241 game
MarsBb3px
Mars
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painxn丶e
47% · 203 games61% · 152 games
ChenRESPECT
Chen
Dazzle
DazzlePuppey
42% · 82 games60% · 122 games
Void Spiriterase
Void Spirit
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magemrls
54% · 60 games51% · 177 games
Ringmasterslimeyao
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed30:23
Team Public 36%HULIGANI 64%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Public in 1:00:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautShigetsu
56% · 73 games42% · 240 games
Queen of Painerase
Queen of Pain
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetxn丶e
56% · 229 games52% · 31 game
Kezv1olent-
Kez
Marci
Marcimangekyou
57% · 180 games47% · 276 games
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
JakiroPuppey
47% · 334 games49% · 178 games
PugnaRESPECT
Pugna
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magemrls
52% · 69 games48% · 160 games
Shadow Demonslimeyao
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 77%
Series resultTeam Public 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2